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This week marked a stark contrast to the previous fortnight's spike in volatility. After last week's sharp selloff in equities and the VIX surge to 21.51, markets found their footing early in the week. The S&P 500 recovered modestly, whilst the Nasdaq's rebound proved more decisive. More telling than raw index performance was the shift in the volatility regime: the VIX compressed from 21.51 to 17.68 over five trading days — a 15% decline that reflects a genuine risk-off reversal rather than a mere positioning unwind.
A four-day trading week packed four weeks of drama: WTI crossed $100 for the first time in years, August CPI kept the pressure on, and the S&P 500 fell for a fourth consecutive session before Friday's relief rally closed the week on a calmer note. →
A sharp US-Iran re-escalation rattled Monday, mid-week dovish Fed signals lifted sentiment, then Friday's blowout jobs report reversed it all: leaving the S&P 500 essentially flat and the September FOMC wide open. →
A blowout Nvidia quarter confirmed the AI cycle is intact, but Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole debut sent rate hike odds surging and rattled gold, silver and Bitcoin on Friday. →
Rising long-term Treasury yields, a Walmart-shaped consumer warning, and surging Bitcoin combined for a volatile week, but the combined portfolio again beat a falling market. →
A quiet week by recent standards delivered exactly what markets needed: benign CPI and PPI data, no Fed surprises, and a third consecutive weekly gain for the S&P 500. →
