Market updates

03

Oct

Week 40: PCE Surprises, Jobs Miss: October Hike All But Off the Table

A soft August PCE print and a sharply disappointing jobs report sent rate hike odds collapsing from 64% to 17%, rescuing equities from an otherwise bruising week shaped by geopolitical flare-ups and crumbling consumer sentiment. →

27

Sep

Week 39: Bond Yields Surge, Summit Ends Quietly: Equities Hold Their Ground

Treasuries hit 19-year highs as October rate hike odds climbed toward 70%, yet equities powered through the pressure, led by Meta's AI showcase and a broad technology rally. →

12

Sep

Week 37: Oil Hits $100, CPI Seals the Deal: September Hike Now Near-Certain

A four-day trading week packed four weeks of drama: WTI crossed $100 for the first time in years, August CPI kept the pressure on, and the S&P 500 fell for a fourth consecutive session before Friday's relief rally closed the week on a calmer note. →

07

Sep

Week 36: Jobs Rebound Keeps the Fed Live: Markets Tread Water

A sharp US-Iran re-escalation rattled Monday, mid-week dovish Fed signals lifted sentiment, then Friday's blowout jobs report reversed it all: leaving the S&P 500 essentially flat and the September FOMC wide open. →

29

Aug

Week 35: Nvidia Delivers, Warsh Warns

A blowout Nvidia quarter confirmed the AI cycle is intact, but Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole debut sent rate hike odds surging and rattled gold, silver and Bitcoin on Friday. →

23

Aug

Week 34: Bond Yields Steal the Show as Markets Pull Back

Rising long-term Treasury yields, a Walmart-shaped consumer warning, and surging Bitcoin combined for a volatile week, but the combined portfolio again beat a falling market. →

16

Aug

Week 33: Inflation Cools, Markets Extend Their Run

A quiet week by recent standards delivered exactly what markets needed: benign CPI and PPI data, no Fed surprises, and a third consecutive weekly gain for the S&P 500. →

09

Aug

Week 32: Three Headwinds Ease: Markets Break to New Highs

AI earnings credibility, falling oil prices and a soft jobs report that took rate hikes off the table combined to propel the S&P 500 to record highs: its best weekly gain since April. →

02

Aug

Week 31: Fed Holds, Microsoft Surges, Markets Recover

A volatile week of central bank signals, hawkish bond moves and swinging tech earnings resolved in a positive weekly close and three of four portfolios beat the S&P 500. →

26

Jul

Week 30: Tech Earnings Disappoint, Oil Surges: Markets Sell Off Again

Alphabet and Tesla missed the mark, Brent briefly crossed $100, and equity markets fell for a second consecutive week: yet the combined portfolio ended the week virtually flat. →